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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance 2021颁发
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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2014年首届亚军
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
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中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
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2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠
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荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
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2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
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投查查于2024年颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance 2021颁发
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FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
FOLLOWME交易社区授予
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2016年最佳外汇经纪商
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
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Online Money Awards 2022 颁发
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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2014年首届亚军
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
-
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
-
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
-
2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
-
中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
-
2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
-
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
-
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠
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荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
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荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
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荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
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荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠
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荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠
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2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
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投查查于2024年颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance 2021颁发
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FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
FOLLOWME交易社区授予
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2016年最佳外汇经纪商
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
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Online Money Awards 2022 颁发
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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2014年首届亚军
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CATEGORIES
News
- Decision-making and economic data of central banks in many countries focus on gl
- Gold continues to fluctuate upward, and there is a rebound and it will be more!
- The White House and the Fed escalate conflict, from policy differences to a game
- Gold has a deep V reversal, and the current price in the morning is 3342 and it
- The game of life and death at the 172 mark in the European and Japanese exchange
market analysis
The legal and political situation has eased, but the budget bomb has been planted! Euro's brief carnival may be followed by fatal crisis
Wonderful introduction:
Spring flowers will bloom! If you've ever experienced winter, you've experienced spring! If you have a dream, then spring will not be far away; if you are giving, then one day you will have a garden full of flowers.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Platform]: The legal situation has eased but the budget bomb has been planted! After the short carnival of the euro, there may be a fatal crisis." Hope this helps you! Original content is as follows:
During the Asian market on Wednesday (October 15), the euro held on to the previous day's gains against the U.S. dollar and rose moderately, as the decline in political instability in France provided support for the euro, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's remarks that he was inclined to continue cutting interest rates put pressure on the U.S. dollar.
However, although the latest developments in the French political situation have reduced political instability, they have intensified budget difficulties, and the euro may still face greater pressure in the future.
An extremely fragile budget draft
In the past few days, French politics has been in flux again. Prime Minister Sebastian Le Corni, who resigned last week, finally returned to politics for a second term to lead a new government.
On Tuesday, the new government submitted a draft budget for 2026. The Prime Minister issued a policy agenda to Parliament that day. The core points are as follows:
In order to stabilize his ruling position and avoid the Socialist Party's impeachment motion, Le Corni has agreed to fully suspend pension reform and postpone this issue until after the 2027 presidential election. This means the retirement age will remain unchanged at 62 years and nine months. The move will cost the pension system €400 million in 2026 and €1.8 billion in 2027. Taking into account the impact of the decline in labor market participation, the total cost to public finances will rise to 3 billion euros, benefiting 3.5 million French citizens.
Le Kearney emphasized that this suspension measure must be funded through additional savings and must not be at the expense of expanding the deficit. However, the specific implementation plan is still unclear.
The government’s goal is to reduce the fiscal deficit from 5.4% of GDP in 2025 to 4.7% in 2026, and to control it below 3% by 2029. But at this stage, theThe probability of the bid is slim - the High Council for Public Finance said on Tuesday that the plan was fragile and even "highly hypothetical".尽管推行财政整顿，国债仍将持续攀升，预计2026年达GDP的117.9%，增幅达2个百分点。
The budget foresees a controlled evolution of public expenditure, with the goal of reducing the public expenditure rate to 56.4% of GDP in 2026 from 56.8% in 2025. The total expenditure savings are about 17 billion euros. The core ideas include stopping many benefits (including pensions) from being linked to the inflation index and reducing government operating costs.
The mandatory collection rate will increase from 43.6% of GDP in 2025 to 43.9%. To achieve this goal, the budget plans to raise 14 billion euros in new revenue, mainly targeting the wealthiest households, while extending the period for collecting special corporate surtaxes and freezing the threshold for personal tax.
Where to go next?
Members now have 70 days to debate, amend and vote on the budget. There are many difficulties in reaching a parliamentary agreement at this stage - because it needs to be unanimously approved by both houses, the right-wing Republicans and the left-wing Socialists must jointly support the budget.去年议会辩论曾导致预算文本面目全非，最终无人愿意投票支持。 If Parliament fails to pass a budget, it will face the following options:
Trigger Article 49.3 of the Constitution to force passage
This clause allows the government to force the passage of laws, and all previous budgets have relied on this method. Although Le Corni promised to abandon the use of this method, historical experience shows that the promise is difficult to keep. If this clause is used, it is likely to trigger an impeachment motion.
Enforcement by administrative decree
If Parliament fails to make a resolution 70 days after the budget text is submitted, the constitution allows the government to pass decrees to implement budget provisions. This third option is feasible, but politically destructive.
Temporary continuation of the old budget
In the absence of a budget, the Parliament can refer to last year's practice and pass a special bill at the end of the year to extend the 2025 budget to 2026, pending a subsequent agreement.
The latest developments show that the Socialist Party has stated that it will not submit an impeachment motion, reducing the immediate risk of the government's immediate collapse. The impeachment motion proposed by the far-right National Rally (RN) and the far-left France Unyielding (LFI) will be debated in the National Assembly on Thursday. Even if these parties form an alliance with the Greens, barring an unexpected Republican defection, the motion has little chance of passing.
If the impeachment motion is unexpectedly passed (the possibility is currently low), President Macron has stated that he will dissolve parliament and hold a new round of elections, and will no longer try to appoint a new prime minister.
Political instability has decreased, but the deterioration of the financial situation has intensified
Overall, the recent political instability in France has been alleviated but has not been eradicated. The current government is still in an absolute minority, any legislative proposals will be difficult to make, and its governing position will continue to face cyclical tests.
The political situation stabilizesIt does not mean that the budget can be passed as it is - either it will be forced to be revised during the parliamentary debate, or it will be forced through at the cost of reigniting the political crisis. France's budget problem is essentially a structural problem, and it is far from being truly solved.
With pension reform on hold, the fiscal austerity required each year to achieve the 2029 target of reducing the deficit to 3% will further intensify, while political consensus to achieve this goal remains elusive. For Europe, the French budget crisis is far from over.
The announcement of the budget draft and temporary stabilization of the political situation may provide short-term support for the euro. However, the 70-day parliamentary debate period will be an ongoing source of political uncertainty, and any adverse developments could trigger a short-term sell-off in the euro.
All in all, this fragile budget draft has put pressure on the euro from three dimensions: fiscal fundamentals, political risks and EU relations. It is more like a "diagnosis" revealing the underlying problems rather than a "solution", indicating that the euro will face continued headwinds from France in the www.xmmen.coming period.
The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: The legal and political situation is eased but the budget bomb is buried! A fatal crisis may be hidden after the short carnival of the euro". It is carefully www.xmmen.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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